Oscar Predictions and Thoughts

Of course, this is my predictions to win, not what or who I wish would win.





Best Picture: The Social Network



Best Actor: Colin Firth, The King's Speech



Best Actress: Natalie Portman, Black Swan



Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, The Fighter



Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo, The Fighter



Best Director: David Fincher, The Social Network



Best Adapted Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network



Best Original Screenplay: David Seidler, The King's Speech



Best Animated Film: Toy Story 3



Best Art Direction: Alice in Wonderland



Best Cinematography: Danny Cohen, The King's Speech



Best Costume Design: Jenny Beaven, The King's Speech



Best Documentary: Exit Through the Gift Shop



Best Documentary (Short Subject): Killing in the Name



Best Film Editing: Andrew Weisblum, Black Swan



Best Foreign Film: Dogtooth



Best Makeup: Adrien Morot, Barney's Version



Best Original Score: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Social Network



Best Original Song: "Coming Home", Country Strong



Best Animated Short Film: Day and Night



Best Live Action Short Film: The Confession



Best Sound Editing: Inception



Best Sound Mixing: Inception



Best Visual Effects: Inception





I do honestly believe that there might be a huge upset during the proceedings, especially in the Big Five. My gut is on the Actress categories, most notably Michelle Williams and Hailee Steinfeld. History has shown these two categories are often shockers to Oscar predictors and to the general public.



Remember when actual pop songs were nominated and would win Best Original Song? Yet again, the nominees are hard to figure out though I can see Randy Newman getting another Oscar.



Going against Julia Roberts, I do think Biutiful will not win in either category it's nominated in, especially Foreign Language. I really expect Dogtooth to win, though I also thought that The White Ribbon would win easily.



All bets on Exit Through the Gift Shop. Not just because it was one of my favorites last year, but everyone is waiting to see if Banksy does something. Besides, did you see all of the other nominated documentaries in both feature length and short subject? They are all about war or the environment. Way to be original. Except for the brave directors of Restrepo, the rest all come across as stupid boring hipster propaganda.





See you on Monday with reactions to the awards.