Saturday, February 23, 2019
2019 Oscars Predictions
As always, these are my predictions to win, not who or what movie I wish would win.
Best Picture: Roma
Best Actor: Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody
Best Actress: Olivia Colman - The Favourite
Best Supporting Actor: Sam Elliott - A Star Is Born
Best Supporting Actress: Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk
Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón - Roma
Best Original Screenplay: Paul Schrader - First Reformed
Best Adapted Screenplay: Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman
Best Animated Film: Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse
Best Foreign Film: Roma
Best Documentary Film: Minding The Gap
Best Documentary (Short Subject): End Game
Best Animated Short Film: Bao
Best Live Action Short Film: Mother
Best Original Score: Ludwig Göransson - Black Panther
Best Original Song: "Shallow" - A Star Is Born
Best Cinematography: Alfonso Cuarón - Roma
Best Film Editing: Barry Alexander Brown - BlacKkKlansman
Best Production Design: Fiona Crombie and Alice Felton - The Favourite
Best Costume Design: Sandy Powell - The Favourite
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Greg Cannom, Kate Biscoe and Patricia Dehaney - Vice
Best Sound Editing: Sergio Díaz and Skip Lievsay - Roma
Best Sound Mixing: Skip Lievsay, Craig Henighan and José Antonio Garcia - Roma
Best Visual Effects: First Man
Oscar season has been one wild ride this year. From all of the controversies to the lack of a true front runner, all I can say is that tomorrow's ceremony is one to watch for film fans. Especially with no Jimmy Kimmel!
There's a big part of me that is screaming that Roma will just win Best Foreign Language Film and not Best Picture. I truly can see that happening but I frankly have no real alternative for Best Picture. A Star Is Born fizzled out, Green Book and Bohemian Rhapsody have drawn ire, Vice is DOA, The Favourite is too strange, and the snobs in the Academy don't have the balls to give it to Black Panther. I would love it if BlacKkKlansman won though it is a long shot compared to Roma's easy layup.
Close has a chance but Colman has been dominating the awards season.
It just has to go to Elliott. Ali and Rockwell both already have one, Driver is too young and weird for the Academy, and Grant unfortunately has spurted out.
My picks for the screenplay awards boil down to the Academy giving it to Paul Schrader and Spike Lee after all of the snubs and cold shoulders they already have bequeathed to them.
So help me if Incredibles 2 wins Best Animated Feature. Pixar should be content with their easy win in Best Animated Short.
If Cold War or Shoplifters snatches up Best Foreign Language Film, the chances for Roma winning Best Picture will skyrocket.
Free Solo was my first pick for Best Documentary Feature but considering the Academy's snub of another certain audience favorite from last year, I will have to go for the one that's more grounded in reality and would have been praised heavily if the late film critic Roger Ebert was still alive.
Four of the five nominees for Best Live Action Short featured children in peril or dead. I went with the one that's being hailed for its acting and technical prowess as a staged one-shot thriller. On the other hand, thrillers don't do well in this category.
See you on Monday with my reactions to the awards and the ceremony itself.
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